Nate Silver 2024 Election Forecast. Moved to the right in 2024 even though the previous election was also highly competitive. It’s a big day here at silver bulletin:
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things i care about. Yesterday i wrote a long post on polling averages and political forecasts, focusing on the differences between fivethirtyeight, whose model gives each party a 50% chance of.